Our world is a world run, literally, by fossil fuels.
Industrialized countries alone consume over 43 million
barrels of oil every day.[1]
With the quantity of oil as yet untapped ranging between
1275 billion barrels and 2120 billion barrels[2],
our world will come screeching to a halt sometime
around the year 2070. Many environmentalists urge
a shift to renewables like solar, geothermal, biomass,
and wind, as well as other alternatives such as fuel
cells, in hopes it will help solve the problem. While
it may be possible, although extremely unlikely, for
the United States to move from our reliance on fossil
fuels for approximately 88% of our energy to a combination
of the above alternatives, it would be a nearly impossible
task for developing nation. The cost of these technologies
is simply out of the reach for 3rd world
countries, and it is clear that another solution must
be developed. Fusion power has the potential to provide
the panacea so sought after, but with a decreasing
budget and little public support, it is unlikely that
fusion research will make the scientific and technological
leaps needed to help in time. It is of vital importance
to both the United States and the world to dramatically
increase the budgets for fusion research, and educate
the public about the significance of the technology.
Fusion power has been around for about 15 billion
years, or whatever one deems the age of the universe.
Carl Sagan once said, "every time you look up
in the sky, every one of those points of light is
a reminder that fusion power is an everyday reality
throughout the galaxy." Every star uses gravitational
confinement to crush the elements that comprise it
into new elements, and then it crushes them to form
yet another set of elements. This process yields incredible
amounts of energy, the results of which have made
it possible, in our sun�s case, for life to exist
on Earth. Stars, however, aren�t the only place that
fusion has taken place. In 1932, world-renowned physicists
Rutherford, Walton and Harteck detected the release
of energy from a small fusion reaction, and later,
in 1934, actually succeeded in fusing two deuterons
and releasing, among other products, energy.[3]
Of course the most notable human caused fusion reactions
are those that take place in hydrogen bombs, the first
of which was tested in the 1940�s, and have since
made it possible for the human race to wipe themselves
out at the press of a button. From this massively
destructive technology, however, projects like ZETA
� the Zero Energy Torodial Assembly, were constructed.
The history of fusion research, for the better or
worse, has often been driven by politics.
One of the earliest instances of a change in fusion
research policy (for non-weapon purposes) occurred
in 1951 when the then communist Argentinean dictator,
Juan Per�n, announced that his country had an operational
fusion power plant. This single announcement was one
of the most important events in the history of fusion
research for it precipitated the work done by countless
American physicist, including Lyman Spitzer at Princeton.[4] Per�n�s claim was later refuted,
but the boom in research had begun all over the world.
Later that year Soviet physicists Andrei Sakharov
and Igor Tamm designed what would be later known as
a tokamak, which stands for toroidalnya kamera ee
magnetnaya katushka. This donut-shaped, magnetic confinement
device would revolutionize both plasma physics and
fusion energy technology, and is now our best bet
for economically viable fusion power. The design was
formally shown off, in classic Cold War �our technology
is better than your technology� fashion at the �Atoms
for Peace� conference in Geneva. While the Cold War
was about keeping secrets, the physics community used
the conference as a forum to exchange many important
ideas. The conference concluded with the realization
that plasma physics, a field of great importance to
fusion research, was an area that needed to be heavily
focused on by all nations if fusion power was to become
a reality. Thanks to the conference, plasma physics
became one of the largest areas of theoretical research
during the 60�s.[5] What had started as a very politically motivated move by the
USSR ended up as a driving force in fusion research.
In fact, great advancements in Soviet fusion research,
such as the 1968 tokamak breakthrough in confinement,
were probably the only reason both European and American
programs started to receive substantial funding.[6]
The budget for fusion research hasn�t always been
tied to political squabbling; more often, it is tied
to short-term thinking.
The portion of the United States budged devoted
to fusion has varied greatly since it first showed
up in the late sixties. A dramatic increase in the
budget for fusion research during the Ford administration
(1974 � 1977) was somewhat sustained through the Carter
(1977-1981) and first part of the Regan administrations
(1981-1989). (See U.S. Fusion Energy Sciences Budget
History graph.
)
Since the end of the Regan administration, however,
there has been a dramatic decline in funding, from
a high of $900 million in 1977 to a low of $220 million
in 2000.[7] One might think that these trends relate to the
policies of the particular administration in power,
but that wouldn�t make sense with the known, or rather
non-existent, energy policy of the Regan administration.
Some light is shed on the subject when one examines
oil prices during that same time period. (See U.S.
Fusion Budget Vs. the Price of Crude Oil graph.
)
There is nearly a 1 to 1 ratio (with a slight lag
that can be attributed to the sluggishness of the
budget process) of funding increases with increases
in crude oil prices between the years 1968 and 1999.
The peak in funding in the late 70�s can be accredited
to the 1973 energy crisis caused by the Arab-Israeli
war and subsequent oil embargo, which caused a huge
increase in the price of crude oil to nearly $40 a
barrel, as well as the �natural gas shortage during
the bitter winter of 1976-1977.�[8] In subsequent years, as the price
of crude oil dropped to well below $20 a barrel, the
funding for fusion research dropped accordingly.[9] It seems clear that in order for fusion science
to progress at a rate that will allow eventual fusion-based
technologies to combat the many resource/environmental
problems that lay ahead, the United States fusion
program "must have an energy vision"[10] as the primary focus of the
science.
Until recently the primary goals of the United States�
fusion sciences program were concentrated on developing
the basic science behind plasma physics. While the
science was focused on torodial plasma configurations,
which are currently the most likely configurations
to yield substantial usable energy, the program was
not overly concerned with finding an immediate source
of cheap, clean energy. (See chart: Restructuring
Changes in Fusion Budget
)
In 1996, the Fusion Energy Advisory Committee (FEAC)
released a report that is an obvious sign the focus
of fusion studies is changing. The report, which was
titled �A Restructured Fusion Energy Sciences Program,�
primarily served to redefine the entire mission statement
to reflect a shift from basic science to a much more
R&D oriented program. The new mission statement
reads, "Acquire the knowledge base needed for an economically
and environmentally attractive fusion energy source."[11]
This shift will most likely help, at least in the
political arena, detach the link between funding for
fusion research and crude oil prices. The program
now appears to have a much more immediate goal, and
politicians tend to want to fund research that is
likely to reap benefits as soon as possible, preferably
before the end of their terms in office. The many
recent reviews and restructurings of the program suggest
that it still gathers plenty of interest from those
in power at the DOE and the rest of the government,
(See chart: Budget History and Dates and accompanying
dates.
)
but the most pressing problem facing the realization
of fusion power, other than perhaps the scientific
challenges, is the lack of public awareness and support.
Whether for better or worse, public opinion is one
of the most powerful forces in the United States.
There has not been a single nuclear (fission) power
plant built in the United States since 1976[12],
primarily due to public opinion. The accidents at
Three Mile Island in 1979, and at Chernobyl in 1986
have forever changed the mind of the public about
nuclear fission. Few Americans know the difference
between fusion and fission, and so naturally they
assume they are both bad because they both happen
to have the word �nuclear� in them. If the public
realized the importance of not only the issues surrounding
energy policy, but also a possible solution like fusion,
the funding for such research is likely to increase.
Public opinion is not as autonomous an entity as the
public would like to believe, and can be manipulated
just as easily as the stock market. A quick examination
of France, which gets more than 75% of its power from
nuclear fission,[13] shows a society completely embracing a technology that has proven
to be incredibly dangerous in its current implementation.
The French government, for lack of a better (or at
least more appropriate) term, has brainwashed the
entire populace into having complete faith in their
power source (and, incidentally, their government.)
They did so primarily by feeding off of the country�s
dominant social paradigm (DSP), which in their case
is the desire for independence and nationalistic tendencies.
The same kind of thing must be done in the
United States, but instead of convincing the populace
of something that isn�t true, the United States would
be convincing the populace of something that is. To
do this one would have to appeal to the primary element
in the average US citizen�s DSP: money. The United
States is obviously a capitalistic country, and the
primary goal of capitalism is to acquire wealth, or
at the very least, avoid losing it. Fusion power,
when finally attained, will be a nearly free source
of energy,[14] so it could be the perfect business venture,
yielding nearly 100% profit. Fuel is the primary cost
to traditional fossil fuel-based power companies,
and without this continuing drain on revenue, fusion
companies would soon dominate the market. With simple
water being the chief ingredient for fusion, a power
company specializing in fusion power could charge
a substantially lower price than competing fossil
fuel based power companies, and still make an incredible
profit.
One could also look at it from the consumer�s point
of view. A market dominated by fusion power is a market
of nearly free energy, so money normally reserved
for the utility bill can be put into �other things�.
These �other things� are also likely to drop in price
dramatically because the cost of manufacturing will
decrease thanks to the nearly free energy provided
by the fusion power plants. Overall, these factors
would result in a huge boost in not just the American
standard of living, but also the standard of living
for the entire world. Cheap, clean fusion power could
be sold (or given) to developing nations, solving
both their standard of living problems as well as
alleviating the potential environmental impacts of
their rapid industrialization.
Clearly, the public, armed with education about fusion,
would be in full support. Coupled with the new focus
of the US fusion program, this could dramatically
increase funding and help bring the world that much
closer to the arrival of a day where energy is no
longer an issue. Fusion is one of the few (or perhaps
only) future sources of energy that has both the potential
to solve all of the problems currently faced, and
at the same time avoid having nearly any down side.
With basically no harmful waste, no danger of explosion
or meltdown, and no limits on available fuel, the
biggest question facing the technology is why it is
only getting $220 million for research. Fusion works;
it is only a question of time before we can capitalize
on the power it offers. How long that time is, and
whether it will prevent the coming environmental and
economic dangers, depends completely on the attention
and funding it is given.�
More Supporting Charts, Graphs, and Tables[15]: